The impact of CREBRF rs373863828 Pacific-variant on infant body composition.

In Maori and Pacific adults, the CREBRF rs373863828 minor (A) allele is associated with increased body mass index (BMI) but reduced incidence of type-2 and gestational diabetes mellitus. In this prospective cohort study of Maori and Pacific infants, nested within a nutritional intervention trial for pregnant women with obesity and without pregestational diabetes, we investigated whether the rs373863828 A allele is associated with differences in growth and body composition from birth to 12-18 months' corrected age. Infants with and without the variant allele were compared using generalised linear models adjusted for potential confounding by gestation length, sex, ethnicity and parity, and in a secondary analysis, additionally adjusted for gestational diabetes. Carriage of the rs373863828 A allele was not associated with altered growth and body composition from birth to 6 months. At 12-18 months, infants with the rs373863828 A allele had lower whole-body fat mass [FM 1.4 (0.7) vs. 1.7 (0.7) kg, aMD -0.4, 95% CI -0.7, 0.0, P = 0.05; FM index 2.2 (1.1) vs. 2.6 (1.0) kg/m2 aMD -0.6, 95% CI -1.2,0.0, P = 0.04]. However, this association was not significant after adjustment for gestational diabetes, suggesting that it may be mediated, at least in part, by the beneficial effect of CREBRF rs373863828 A allele on maternal glycemic status.

Risk factors for late preterm and term stillbirth: A secondary analysis of an individual participant data meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Identify independent and novel risk factors for late-preterm (28-36 weeks) and term (≥37 weeks) stillbirth and explore development of a risk-prediction model. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of an Individual Participant Data (IPD) meta-analysis investigating modifiable stillbirth risk factors. SETTING: An IPD database from five case-control studies in New Zealand, Australia, the UK and an international online study. POPULATION: Women with late-stillbirth (cases, n = 851), and ongoing singleton pregnancies from 28 weeks' gestation (controls, n = 2257). METHODS: Established and novel risk factors for late-preterm and term stillbirth underwent univariable and multivariable logistic regression modelling with multiple sensitivity analyses. Variables included maternal age, body mass index (BMI), parity, mental health, cigarette smoking, second-hand smoking, antenatal-care utilisation, and detailed fetal movement and sleep variables. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Independent risk factors with adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for late-preterm and term stillbirth. RESULTS: After model building, 575 late-stillbirth cases and 1541 controls from three contributing case-control studies were included. Risk factor estimates from separate multivariable models of late-preterm and term stillbirth were compared. As these were similar, the final model combined all late-stillbirths. The single multivariable model confirmed established demographic risk factors, but additionally showed that fetal movement changes had both increased (decreased frequency) and reduced (hiccoughs, increasing strength, frequency or vigorous fetal movements) aOR of stillbirth. Poor antenatal-care utilisation increased risk while more-than-adequate care was protective. The area-under-the-curve was 0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.86). CONCLUSIONS: Similarities in risk factors for late-preterm and term stillbirth suggest the same approach for risk-assessment can be applied. Detailed fetal movement assessment and inclusion of antenatal-care utilisation could be valuable in late-stillbirth risk assessment.

Detection of small for gestational age babies and perinatal outcomes following implementation of the Growth Assessment Protocol at a New Zealand tertiary facility: An observational intervention study.

BACKGROUND: Timely detection of small for gestational age (SGA) fetuses is important for reducing severe perinatal morbidity and mortality, and better tools are needed to detect SGA in maternity care. AIM: We evaluated the effect of the introduction of the Perinatal Institute's Growth Assessment Protocol (GAP) in the Counties Manukau Health region, South Auckland, New Zealand, on antenatal detection of SGA and maternal and perinatal outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Uncontrolled before and after study in women booked under hospital community midwife care with a singleton, non-anomalous pregnancy. Antenatal detection of SGA (birthweight <10th customised centile) was compared pre-GAP (2012, N = 1105) and post-GAP (2017, N = 1082). Composite adverse neonatal outcome was defined as neonatal unit admission >48 h, five-minute Apgar score <7, and/or any ventilation. Analyses were adjusted for maternal age, body mass index, deprivation, smoking and ethnicity. RESULTS: SGA rates were similar across epochs (13.8% vs 12.9%) but antenatal detection of SGA increased from 22.9% (35/153) to 57.9% (81/140) post-GAP (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 4.8, 95% CI 2.82-8.18). Rates of induction of labour and caesarean section increased between epochs but were similar in SGA, non-SGA, and detected and non-detected SGA subgroups. Among SGA babies, there was some evidence that antenatal detection of SGA may be associated with lower composite adverse neonatal outcome (detected SGA: aOR 0.44 95% CI 0.17-1.15; non-detected SGA: aOR = 1.81 95% CI 0.73-4.48; interaction P = 0.03). Pre-term birth did not appear to be influenced by GAP. CONCLUSION: Implementation of GAP was associated with a nearly five-fold increase in SGA detection without increasing obstetric intervention for SGA.

Associations between consumption of coffee and caffeinated soft drinks and late stillbirth-Findings from the Midland and North of England stillbirth case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: The consumption of caffeinated drinks and soft drinks is widespread in society, including by pregnant women. Data regarding the association of caffeine intake and stillbirth are varied. We aimed to investigate the degree of consumption of caffeinated drinks or soft drinks in the last four weeks of pregnancy in women who experienced a late stillbirth compared to women with ongoing live pregnancies at similar gestation. Influences on maternal caffeine intake and soft drink consumption during pregnancy were also investigated. STUDY DESIGN: A case-control study undertaken in 41 maternity units in the United Kingdom. Cases were women who had a singleton non-anomalous stillbirth ≥28 weeks' gestation (n = 290) and controls were women with an ongoing pregnancy at the time of interview (n = 729). Data were collected using an interviewer-administered questionnaire which included questions regarding consumption of a variety of caffeinated drinks and soft drinks in the last four weeks of pregnancy as well as other behaviours (e.g. cigarette smoking). RESULTS: Multivariable analysis adjusting for co-existing demographic and behavioural factors found the consumption of instant coffee, energy drinks and cola were associated with increased risk of stillbirth. There was an independent association between caffeine intake and late stillbirth (adjusted Odds Ratio 1.27, 95 % Confidence Interval (95 %CI) 1.14, 1.43 for each 100 mg increment/day). 15 % of cases and 8% of controls consumed more than the World Health Organisation (WHO) recommendation (>300 mg of caffeine/day; aOR 2.30, 95 % CI 1.40, 4.24). The population attributable risk for stillbirth associated with >300 mg of caffeine/day was 7.4 %. The majority of respondents reduced caffeine consumption in pregnancy. Midwives and internet resources were the most frequently used sources of information which influenced maternal behaviour with regard to soft drinks and caffeine, and this did not differ between cases and controls. CONCLUSIONS: Women should be informed that consumption of caffeine during pregnancy is associated with increased risk of stillbirth, particularly at levels greater than recommended by the WHO (>300 mg/day). Recommendations from midwives and internet-based resources are likely to be the most effective means to influence maternal behaviour.

The Pacific-specific CREBRF rs373863828 allele protects against gestational diabetes mellitus in Maori and Pacific women with obesity.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The CREBRF rs373863828 minor (A) allele is associated with increased BMI but reduced prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Maori and Pacific people. Given the shared aetiology of type 2 diabetes and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), we tested for an association between the CREBRF rs373863828 variant and GDM. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of Maori and Pacific women nested within a nutritional intervention study for pregnant women with obesity. Women were enrolled at 12-17 weeks' gestation and underwent anthropometry and collection of buffy coats for later genetic testing. GDM was diagnosed by 75 g OGTT at 24-28 weeks' gestation using the International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups criteria. Genotyping was performed by real-time PCR with a custom CREBRF rs373863828 probe-set. The association between CREBRF rs373863828 and GDM was analysed separately by ethnic group using logistic regression, with effect estimates combined in a meta-analysis. RESULTS: Of 112 Maori and Pacific pregnant women with obesity, 31 (28%) carried the CREBRF rs373863828 A allele (A/G or A/A) and 35 (31%) developed GDM. Women who carried the CREBRF rs373863828 A allele did not differ in BMI when compared with non-carriers (G/G). There was a fivefold reduction in the likelihood of GDM per CREBRF rs373863828 A allele (OR 0.19 [95% CI 0.05, 0.69], p = 0.01), independent of age, BMI and family history of diabetes (adjusted OR 0.13 [95% CI 0.03, 0.53], p = 0.004). GDM was diagnosed in 10% and 40% of women with and without the CREBRF rs373863828 A allele, respectively (no woman with the A/A genotype developed GDM). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The CREBRF rs373863828 (A) allele is associated with reduced likelihood of GDM in Maori and Pacific women with obesity and may improve GDM risk prediction. Graphical abstract.

Associations between symptoms of sleep-disordered breathing and maternal sleep patterns with late stillbirth: Findings from an individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) affects up to one third of women during late pregnancy and is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, including hypertension, diabetes, impaired fetal growth, and preterm birth. However, it is unclear if SDB is associated with late stillbirth (≥28 weeks' gestation). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between self-reported symptoms of SDB and late stillbirth. METHODS: Data were obtained from five case-control studies (cases 851, controls 2257) from New Zealand (2 studies), Australia, the United Kingdom, and an international study. This was a secondary analysis of an individual participant data meta-analysis that investigated maternal going-to-sleep position and late stillbirth, with a one-stage approach stratified by study and site. Inclusion criteria: singleton, non-anomalous pregnancy, ≥28 weeks' gestation. Sleep data ('any' snoring, habitual snoring ≥3 nights per week, the Berlin Questionnaire [BQ], sleep quality, sleep duration, restless sleep, daytime sleepiness, and daytime naps) were collected by self-report for the month before stillbirth. Multivariable analysis adjusted for known major risk factors for stillbirth, including maternal age, body mass index (BMI kg/m2), ethnicity, parity, education, marital status, pre-existing hypertension and diabetes, smoking, recreational drug use, baby birthweight centile, fetal movement, supine going-to-sleep position, getting up to use the toilet, measures of SDB and maternal sleep patterns significant in univariable analysis (habitual snoring, the BQ, sleep duration, restless sleep, and daytime naps). Registration number: PROSPERO, CRD42017047703. RESULTS: In the last month, a positive BQ (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-2.04), sleep duration >9 hours (aOR 1.82, 95% CI 1.14-2.90), daily daytime naps (aOR 1.52, 95% CI 1.02-2.28) and restless sleep greater than average (aOR 0.62, 95% CI 0.44-0.88) were independently related to the odds of late stillbirth. 'Any' snoring, habitual snoring, sleep quality, daytime sleepiness, and a positive BQ excluding the BMI criterion, were not associated. CONCLUSION: A positive BQ, long sleep duration >9 hours, and daily daytime naps last month were associated with increased odds of late stillbirth, while sleep that is more restless than average was associated with reduced odds. Pregnant women may be reassured that the commonly reported restless sleep of late pregnancy may be physiological and associated with a reduced risk of late stillbirth.

An Individual Participant Data Meta-analysis of Maternal Going-to-Sleep Position, Interactions with Fetal Vulnerability, and the Risk of Late Stillbirth.

BACKGROUND: Maternal supine going-to-sleep position has been associated with increased risk of late stillbirth (≥ 28 weeks), but it is unknown if the risk differs between right and left side, and if some pregnancies are more vulnerable. METHODS: Systematic searches were undertaken for an individual-level participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of case-control studies, prospective cohort studies and randomised trials undertaken up until 26 Jan, 2018, that reported data on maternal going-to-sleep position and stillbirth. Participant inclusion criteria included gestation ≥ 28 weeks', non-anomalous, singleton pregnancies. The primary outcome was stillbirth. A one-stage approach stratified by study and site was used for the meta-analysis. The interaction between supine going-to-sleep position and fetal vulnerability was assessed by bi-variable regression. The multivariable model was adjusted for a priori confounders. Registration number: PROSPERO, CRD42017047703. FINDINGS: Six case-control studies were identified, with data obtained from five (cases, n = 851; controls, n = 2257). No data was provided by a sixth study (cases, n = 100; controls, n = 200). Supine going-to-sleep position was associated with increased odds of late stillbirth (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.63, 95% CI 1.72-4.04, p < 0.0001) compared with left side. Right side had similar odds to left (aOR 1.04, 95% CI 0.83-1.31, p = 0.75). There were no significant interactions between supine going-to-sleep position and assessed indicators of fetal vulnerability, including small-for-gestational-age infants (p = 0.32), maternal obesity (p = 0.08), and smoking (p = 0.86). The population attributable risk for supine going-to-sleep position was 5.8% (3.2-9.2). INTERPRETATION: This IPD meta-analysis confirms that supine going-to-sleep position is independently associated with late stillbirth. Going-to-sleep on left or right side appears equally safe. No significant interactions with our assessed indicators of fetal vulnerability were identified, therefore, supine going-to-sleep position can be considered a contributing factor for late stillbirth in all pregnancies. This finding could reduce late stillbirth by 5.8% if every pregnant woman ≥ 28 weeks' gestation settled to sleep on her side.

Accuracy of point-of-care HbA1c testing in pregnant women.

BACKGROUND: In New Zealand, it is recommended that all pregnant women have a haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) test performed with their booking antenatal bloods to identify previously unrecognised diabetes. However, screening rates in some groups are low. Use of a point-of-care device may improve compliance with screening. AIM: To assess the accuracy of the COBAS b101 point-of-care system referenced against a laboratory method, for measurement of HbA1c levels in pregnant women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Convenience sample of 40 obese pregnant women enrolled in a clinical trial. HbA1c was assayed in paired capillary and venous whole blood samples using the COBAS b101 point-of-care system and Primus Ultra2 high performance liquid chromatography laboratory analyser, respectively. The accuracy of the point-of-care system was assessed by Bland-Altman analysis. RESULTS: The mean (SD) laboratory HbA1c was 35.9 (2.0) mmol/mol. The COBAS b101 point-of-care system, compared with the laboratory reference method, had a small negative bias for HbA1c (-1.0 mmol/mol, 95% CI -2.0 to -0.03, P = 0.03) and relatively wide 95% limits of agreement (-7.2 to 5.1 mmol/mol). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, we found that in pregnancy, the COBAS b101 point-of-care system has a small negative bias and modest point accuracy for HbA1c. When used to screen for previously unrecognised diabetes in pregnancy, appropriate COBAS b101 HbA1c point-of-care HbA1c thresholds for a negative and positive result are 7 mmol/mol below and 5 mmol/mol above the clinical threshold, respectively. Values between these limits should be confirmed by laboratory testing.

Gene-by-environment interactions of the CLOCK, PEMT, and GHRELIN loci with average sleep duration in relation to obesity traits using a cohort of 643 New Zealand European children.

OBJECTIVES: Modern technology may have desensitised the 'biological clock' to environmental cues, disrupting the appropriate co-ordination of metabolic processes. Susceptibility to misalignment of circadian rhythms may be partly genetically influenced and effects on sleep quality and duration could predispose to poorer health outcomes. Shorter sleep duration is associated with obesity traits, which are brought on by an increased opportunity to eat and/or a shift of hormonal profile promoting hunger. We hypothesised that increased sleep duration will offset susceptible genetic effects, resulting in reduced obesity risk. METHODS: We recruited 643 (male: 338; female: 305) European children born to participants in the New Zealand centre of the International Screening for Pregnancy Endpoints sleep study. Ten genes directly involved in the circadian rhythm machinery and a further 20 genes hypothesised to be driven by cyclic oscillations were evaluated by Sequenom assay. Multivariable regression was performed to test the interaction between gene variants and average sleep length (derived from actigraphy), in relation to obesity traits (body mass index (BMI) z-scores and percentage body fat (PBF)). RESULTS: No association was found between average sleep length and BMI z-scores (p = 0.056) or PBF (p = 0.609). Uncorrected genotype associations were detected between STAT-rs8069645 (p = 0.0052) and ADIPOQ-rs266729 (p = 0.019) with differences in average sleep duration. Evidence for uncorrected gene-by-sleep interactions of the CLOCK-rs4864548 (p = 0.0039), PEMT-936108 (p = 0.016) and GHRELIN-rs696217 (p = 0.046) were found in relation to BMI z-scores but not for PBF. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that children may have different genetic susceptibility to the effects of sleep duration on obesity. Further confirmatory studies are required in other population cohorts of different age groups.

Nulliparity is associated with subtle adverse metabolic outcomes in overweight/obese mothers and their offspring.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate metabolic outcomes in overweight/obese nulliparous and multiparous women and their offspring. STUDY DESIGN: Seventy-two overweight and obese women who participated in a randomized controlled trial of exercise in pregnancy were included in the study, comparing 18 nulliparous and 54 multiparous women and their singleton offspring. Women were assessed at 19 and 36 weeks of gestation. Fetal growth was measured using standard obstetric ultrasound techniques. Cord blood was collected at birth. Maternal and offspring body composition was assessed using DXA ~2 weeks after delivery. RESULTS: Nulliparous women had higher HbA1c in the third trimester of pregnancy than multiparous women (5.48% vs 5.29%; P=.002) and were more insulin-resistant based on the surrogate marker sex hormone-binding globulin (354 vs 408 nmol/L; P=.047). Nulliparous women also had higher levels of the inflammatory marker tumour necrosis factor-alpha (4.74 vs 3.62 pg/mL; P=.025). At birth, the offspring of nulliparous women were on average 340 g (P=.013) and 0.69 standard deviation scores (P=.026) lighter than those born of multiparous women. Cord blood data showed lower insulin-like growth factor-II (P=.026) and higher IGF binding protein-1 (P=.002) levels in the offspring of nulliparous women. In addition, a less favourable metabolic profile was observed in the offspring of nulliparous women, as indicated by higher triglyceride (P<.001) and interleukin-6 (P=.039) concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Infants born of nulliparous overweight and obese women appear to be exposed to a less favourable metabolic environment in utero, with evidence of subtle adverse metabolic outcomes at birth compared to infants of overweight/obese multiparous women.

INTERGROWTH-21st vs customized birthweight standards for identification of perinatal mortality and morbidity.

BACKGROUND: The recently published INTERGROWTH-21st Project international population standard for newborn size is intended for global use, but its ability to identify small infants at risk of adverse outcomes in a general obstetric population has not been reported. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to compare adverse neonatal outcomes among small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infants between the INTERGROWTH-21st standard and a customized birthweight standard (accounting for maternal characteristics of height, weight, parity, and ethnicity). We hypothesized that in a multiethnic general obstetric population in Auckland, New Zealand, a customized birthweight standard would better identify SGA infants at-risk of neonatal morbidity/mortality and stillbirth than the INTERGROWTH-21st standard. STUDY DESIGN: Using prospectively gathered maternity data from a general obstetric population in Auckland, New Zealand, from 2006 to 2013 (n = 53,484 births at ≥ 33 weeks), infants were classified as SGA (birthweight < 10th centile) by INTERGROWTH-21st and customized standards. Infants were further categorized as SGA by both criteria, INTERGROWTH-21st only, customized only, or not SGA (met neither criteria). Composite adverse neonatal outcome was defined as neonatal death, neonatal intensive care admission > 48 hours, or ventilation > 4 hours or 5-minute Apgar score < 7. Relative risks for primary outcomes were estimated using modified Poisson regression, with the non-SGA group as the referent. RESULTS: Incidence of SGA was 4.5% by INTERGROWTH-21st and 11.6% by customized standard. Compared with those not SGA, infants identified as small for gestational age by both criteria had the highest risk of adverse neonatal outcome (relative risk [RR], 4.1, 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.7-4.6) and stillbirth (RR, 8.3, 95% CI, 5.1-13.4). Infants SGA by customized standard only (n = 4015) had an increased risk of adverse neonatal outcome (RR, 2.0, 95% CI, 1.8-2.2) and stillbirth (RR, 3.0, 95% CI, 1.7-5.3). Few infants were identified as SGA by INTERGROWTH-21st only (n = 172), and risks of adverse neonatal outcome and stillbirth were not increased. Findings were unchanged when analyses were limited to term infants (n = 50,739). The INTERGROWTH-21st standard identified more Indian (12.8%) and Asian (5.8%) but fewer European (3.0%) and Pacific (2.9%) infants as SGA (P < .01). Customized criteria identified more than 3 times as many SGA infants among Maori (14.5%), Pacific (13.5%), and European (11.2%) infants and twice as many among Asian (10.3%) infants (P<0.01) compared with INTERGROWTH-21st criteria. The majority of SGA infants by INTERGROWTH-21st only were born to Indian and Asian mothers (95.4%). CONCLUSIONS: In our general obstetric population, birthweight customization identified more SGA infants at risk of perinatal mortality and morbidity compared with the INTERGROWTH-21st standard. The INTERGROWTH-21st standard failed to detect many at-risk SGA infants, particularly among ethnic groups with larger maternal size while disproportionately identifying higher rates of SGA among those with smaller maternal size. Local validation is needed prior to implementation of the INTERGROWTH-21st standard to avoid misclassification of infant birth size.

Prevalence and predictors of alcohol use during pregnancy: findings from international multicentre cohort studies.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the prevalence and predictors of alcohol use in multiple cohorts. DESIGN: Cross-cohort comparison of retrospective and prospective studies. SETTING: Population-based studies in Ireland, the UK, Australia and New Zealand. PARTICIPANTS: 17,244 women of predominantly Caucasian origin from two Irish retrospective studies (Growing up in Ireland (GUI) and Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System Ireland (PRAMS Ireland)), and one multicentre prospective international cohort, Screening for Pregnancy Endpoints (SCOPE) study. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of alcohol use pre-pregnancy and during pregnancy across cohorts. Sociodemographic factors associated with alcohol consumption in each cohort. RESULTS: Alcohol consumption during pregnancy in Ireland ranged from 20% in GUI to 80% in SCOPE, and from 40% to 80% in Australia, New Zealand and the UK. Levels of exposure also varied substantially among drinkers in each cohort ranging from 70% consuming more than 1-2 units/week in the first trimester in SCOPE Ireland, to 46% and 15% in the retrospective studies. Smoking during pregnancy was the most consistent predictor of gestational alcohol use in all three cohorts, and smokers were 17% more likely to drink during pregnancy in SCOPE, relative risk (RR)=1.17 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.22), 50% more likely to drink during pregnancy in GUI, RR=1.50 (95% CI 1.36 to 1.65), and 42% more likely to drink in PRAMS, RR=1.42 (95% CI 1.18 to 1.70). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that alcohol use during pregnancy is prevalent and socially pervasive in the UK, Ireland, New Zealand and Australia. New policy and interventions are required to reduce alcohol prevalence both prior to and during pregnancy. Further research on biological markers and conventions for measuring alcohol use in pregnancy is required to improve the validity and reliability of prevalence estimates.

Risk factors for excessive gestational weight gain in a healthy, nulliparous cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Excessive gestational weight gain (GWG) is associated with adverse maternal and child outcomes and contributes to obesity in women. Our aim was to identify early pregnancy factors associated with excessive GWG, in a contemporary nulliparous cohort. METHODS: Participants in the SCOPE study were classified into GWG categories ("not excessive" versus "excessive") based on pregravid body mass index (BMI) using 2009 Institute of Medicine (IOM) guidelines. Maternal characteristics and pregnancy risk factors at 14-16 weeks were compared between categories and multivariable analysis controlled for confounding factors. RESULTS: Of 1950 women, 17% gained weight within the recommended range, 74% had excessive and 9% inadequate GWG. Women with excessive GWG were more likely to be overweight (adjOR 2.9 (95% CI 2.2-3.8)) or obese (adjOR 2.5 (95% CI 1.8-3.5)) before pregnancy compared to women with a normal BMI. Other factors independently associated with excessive GWG included recruitment in Ireland, younger maternal age, increasing maternal birthweight, cessation of smoking by 14-16 weeks, increased nightly sleep duration, high seafood diet, recent immigrant, limiting behaviour, and decreasing exercise by 14-16 weeks. Fertility treatment was protective. CONCLUSIONS: Identification of potentially modifiable risk factors for excessive GWG provides opportunities for intervention studies to improve pregnancy outcome and prevent maternal obesity.

Exploration and confirmation of factors associated with uncomplicated pregnancy in nulliparous women: prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors at 15 and 20 weeks' gestation associated with a subsequent uncomplicated pregnancy. DESIGN: Prospective international multicentre observational cohort study. SETTING: Auckland, New Zealand and Adelaide, Australia (exploration and local replication dataset) and Manchester, Leeds, and London, United Kingdom, and Cork, Republic of Ireland (external confirmation dataset). PARTICIPANTS: 5628 healthy nulliparous women with a singleton pregnancy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Uncomplicated pregnancy, defined as a normotensive pregnancy delivered at >37 weeks' gestation, resulting in a liveborn baby not small for gestational age, and the absence of any other significant pregnancy complications. In a stepwise logistic regression the comparison group was women with a complicated pregnancy. RESULTS: Of the 5628 women, 3452 (61.3%) had an uncomplicated pregnancy. Factors that reduced the likelihood of an uncomplicated pregnancy included increased body mass index (relative risk 0.74, 95% confidence intervals 0.65 to 0.84), misuse of drugs in the first trimester (0.90, 0.84 to 0.97), mean diastolic blood pressure (for each 5 mm Hg increase 0.92, 0.91 to 0.94), and mean systolic blood pressure (for each 5 mm Hg increase 0.95, 0.94 to 0.96). Beneficial factors were prepregnancy fruit intake at least three times daily (1.09, 1.01 to 1.18) and being in paid employment (per eight hours' increase 1.02, 1.01 to 1.04). Detrimental factors not amenable to alteration were a history of hypertension while using oral contraception, socioeconomic index, family history of any hypertensive complications in pregnancy, vaginal bleeding during pregnancy, and increasing uterine artery resistance index. Smoking in pregnancy was noted to be a detrimental factor in the initial two datasets but did not remain in the final model. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified factors associated with normal pregnancy through adoption of a novel hypothesis generating approach, which has shifted the emphasis away from adverse outcomes towards uncomplicated pregnancies. Although confirmation in other cohorts is necessary, this study implies that individually targeted lifestyle interventions (normalising maternal weight, increasing prepregnancy fruit intake, reducing blood pressure, stopping misuse of drugs) may increase the likelihood of normal pregnancy outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12607000551493.

Clinical prediction in early pregnancy of infants small for gestational age by customised birthweight centiles: findings from a healthy nulliparous cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Small for gestational age (SGA) infants comprise up to 50% of all stillbirths and a minority are detected before birth. We aimed to develop and validate early pregnancy predictive models for SGA infants. METHODS: 5628 participants from SCOPE, a prospective study of nulliparous pregnant women, were interviewed at 15 ± 1 weeks' gestation. Fetal anthropometry, uterine and umbilical Doppler studies were performed at 20 ± 1 weeks'. The cohort was divided into training (n = 3735) and validation datasets (n = 1871). All-SGA (birthweight <10th customised centile), Normotensive-SGA (SGA with normotensive mother) and Hypertensive-SGA (SGA with mother who developed hypertension) were the primary outcomes. Multivariable analysis was performed using stepwise logistic regression firstly using clinical variables and then with clinical and ultrasound variables. Receiver operator curves were constructed and areas under the curve (AUC) calculated. RESULTS: 633 infants (11.3%) in the whole cohort were SGA; 465 (8.3%) Normotensive-SGA and 165 (3.0%) Hypertensive-SGA. In the training dataset risk factors for All-SGA at 15 ± 1 weeks' included: family history of coronary heart disease, maternal birthweight <3000 g and 3000 g to 3499 g compared with ≥ 3500 g, >12 months to conceive, university student, cigarette smoking, proteinuria, daily vigorous exercise and diastolic blood pressure ≥ 80. Recreational walking ≥ 4 times weekly, rhesus negative blood group and increasing random glucose were protective. AUC for clinical risk factors was 0.63. Fetal abdominal or head circumference z scores <10(th) centile and increasing uterine artery Doppler resistance at 20 ± 1 weeks' were associated with increased risk. Addition of these parameters increased the AUC to 0.69. Clinical predictors of Normotensive and Hypertensive-SGA were sub-groups of All-SGA predictors and were quite different. The combined clinical and ultrasound AUC for Normotensive and Hypertensive-SGA were 0.69 and 0.82 respectively. CONCLUSION: Predictors for SGA of relevance to clinical practice were identified. The identity and predictive potential differed in normotensive women and those who developed hypertension.

Independent risk factors for infants who are small for gestational age by customised birthweight centiles in a multi-ethnic New Zealand population.

BACKGROUND: Infants born small for gestational age (SGA) by customised birthweight centiles are at increased risk of adverse outcomes compared with those SGA by population centiles. Risk factors for customised SGA have not previously been described in a general obstetric population. AIM: To determine independent risk factors for customised SGA in a multi-ethnic New Zealand population. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of prospectively recorded maternity data from 2006 to 2009 at National Women's Health, Auckland, New Zealand. After exclusion of infants with congenital anomalies and missing data, our final study population was 26,254 singleton pregnancies. Multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusted for ethnicity, body mass index, maternal age, parity, smoking status, social deprivation, hypertensive disease, antepartum haemorrhage (APH), diabetes and relevant pre-existing medical conditions. RESULTS: Independent risk factors for SGA included obesity (adjusted odds ratio 1.24 [95% CI 1.11-1.39] relative to normal weight), maternal age ≥ 35 years (1.16 [1.05-1.30] relative to 20-29 years), nulliparity (1.13 [1.04-1.24] relative to parity 1), cigarette smoking (2.01 [1.79-2.27]), gestational hypertension (1.46 [1.21-1.75]), pre-eclampsia (2.94 [2.49-3.48]), chronic hypertension (1.68 [1.34-2.09]), placental abruption (2.57 [1.74-3.78]) and APH of unknown origin (1.71 [1.45-2.00]). Gestational diabetes (0.80 [0.67-0.96]) and type 1 diabetes (0.26 [0.11-0.64]) were associated with reduced risk. CONCLUSIONS: We report independent pregnancy risk factors for customised SGA in a general obstetric population. In contrast to population SGA, obesity is associated with increased risk. Our findings may help identify pregnancies that require increased fetal growth surveillance.

Ethnicity, body mass index and risk of pre-eclampsia in a multiethnic New Zealand population.

BACKGROUND: Pre-eclampsia rates are reported to vary by ethnicity; however, few studies include body mass index (BMI). Increasing BMI has a dose-dependent relationship with pre-eclampsia, and rates of overweight and obesity as well as ratios of body fat to muscle mass differ between ethnicities. We hypothesised that after adjusting for confounders, including ethnic-specific BMI, ethnicity would not be an independent risk factor for pre-eclampsia. AIM: To assess independent pre-eclampsia risk factors in a multiethnic New Zealand population. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of prospectively recorded maternity data from 2006 to 2009 at National Women's Health, Auckland, New Zealand. After exclusion of infants with congenital anomalies and missing data, our final study population was 26 254 singleton pregnancies. Multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusted for ethnicity, BMI, maternal age, parity, smoking, social deprivation, diabetes, chronic hypertension and relevant pre-existing medical conditions was performed. RESULTS: Independent associations with pre-eclampsia were observed in Chinese (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.56, [95% CI 0.41-0.76]) and Maori (aOR 1.51, [1.16-1.96]) compared with European women. Other independent risk factors for pre-eclampsia were overweight and obesity, nulliparity, type 1 diabetes, chronic hypertension and pre-existing medical conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to our hypothesis, we report an independent reduced risk of pre-eclampsia in Chinese and increased risk of pre-eclampsia in Maori women. Prospective studies are required to further explore these relationships. Other independent risk factors are consistent with international literature. Our findings may assist clinicians to stratify risk of pre-eclampsia in clinical practice.

Antepartum haemorrhage of unknown origin and maternal cigarette smoking beyond the first trimester.

BACKGROUND: Antepartum haemorrhage of unknown origin (APHUO) is associated with preterm birth and perinatal mortality. AIM: To determine whether smoking beyond the first trimester of pregnancy was an independent risk factor for APHUO. METHODS: Rates of APHUO were compared between non-smokers and smokers, and non-smokers and ceased smokers. Participants were healthy nulliparous women recruited to the Screening for Pregnancy Endpoints (SCOPE) prospective cohort study in New Zealand, Australia, Ireland and United Kingdom. Logistic regression was used to compare adjusted odds ratio, 95% confidence intervals (OR, 95% CI) of APHUO between continued smokers and non-smokers, adjusting for possible confounders. RESULTS: Of the 3513 participants, 77.9% (n = 2737) were non-smokers, 10.6% (n = 371) ceased in the first trimester and 11.5% (n = 405) continued smoking beyond the first trimester. APHUO rates were higher in smokers than nonsmokers (7.4%, n = 30 vs 4.5%, n = 122; P = 0.01), but there was no difference between ceased smokers and nonsmokers (4.3%, n = 16 vs 4.5%, n = 122; P = 0.90). Smoking was no longer significantly associated with APHUO after adjustment for confounders (adjusted OR = 1.28, 95% CI 0.76­2.14), but vaginal bleeding in early pregnancy (adjusted OR = 2.98, 95% CI 2.12­4.18) and overweight/obesity (adjusted OR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.02­1.99) were independent risk factors. First trimester folic acid use was associated with a reduced risk (adjusted OR = 0.44, 95% CI 0.25­0.77). CONCLUSION: Smoking is not an independent risk factor for APHUO after adjustment for confounders, but other risk and protective factors have been identified.

The interaction between the maternal BMI and angiogenic gene polymorphisms associates with the risk of spontaneous preterm birth.

Obesity is associated with an increased level of inflammation. Interactions between inflammatory and angiogenic pathways are implicated in the major pregnancy disorders. The aim of this study was to investigate whether functional polymorphisms in angiogenesis-regulating genes (VEGFA rs699947, VEGFA rs3025039, KDR rs2071559 and ANGPT1 rs2507800) interact with the maternal BMI to modify the risk of a spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB). We conducted a nested case-control study of 1190 nulliparous Caucasian women (107 sPTBs and 1083 controls). Spontaneous PTB was defined as spontaneous preterm labour or a preterm premature rupture of membranes resulting in a preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation. DNA was extracted from the peripheral blood and genotyped using the Sequenom MassARRAY system. Among overweight or obese women (BMI ≥25), the VEGFA rs699947 AA genotype was associated with a higher risk of sPTBs [odds ratio (OR) = 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4-4.6, P = 0.001] and a significant interaction between the BMI and the polymorphism was detected (OR = 4.2, 95% CI: 1.7-10.9, P = 0.003). Among women with a BMI <25, ANGPT1 rs2507800 AA genotype was associated with a higher risk of sPTB (OR = 2.3, 95% CI: 1.2-4.4, P= 0.02) and a significant interaction between BMI and the polymorphism was detected (OR = 3.3, 95% CI: 1.1-9.3, P = 0.02). All results remained significant after adjusting for potential confounding factors. The maternal BMI interacts with angiogenesis-regulating gene polymorphisms to modify the risk of sPTBs.

Clinical risk prediction for pre-eclampsia in nulliparous women: development of model in international prospective cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a predictive model for pre-eclampsia based on clinical risk factors for nulliparous women and to identify a subgroup at increased risk, in whom specialist referral might be indicated. DESIGN: Prospective multicentre cohort. SETTING: Five centres in Auckland, New Zealand; Adelaide, Australia; Manchester and London, United Kingdom; and Cork, Republic of Ireland. PARTICIPANTS: 3572 "healthy" nulliparous women with a singleton pregnancy from a large international study; data on pregnancy outcome were available for 3529 (99%). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Pre-eclampsia defined as ≥ 140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥ 90 mm Hg, or both, on at least two occasions four hours apart after 20 weeks' gestation but before the onset of labour, or postpartum, with either proteinuria or any multisystem complication. Preterm pre-eclampsia was defined as women with pre-eclampsia delivered before 37(+0) weeks' gestation. In the stepwise logistic regression the comparison group was women without pre-eclampsia. RESULTS: Of the 3529 women, 186 (5.3%) developed pre-eclampsia, including 47 (1.3%) with preterm pre-eclampsia. Clinical risk factors at 14-16 weeks' gestation were age, mean arterial blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), family history of pre-eclampsia, family history of coronary heart disease, maternal birth weight, and vaginal bleeding for at least five days. Factors associated with reduced risk were a previous single miscarriage with the same partner, taking at least 12 months to conceive, high intake of fruit, cigarette smoking, and alcohol use in the first trimester. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), under internal validation, was 0.71. Addition of uterine artery Doppler indices did not improve performance (internal validation AUC 0.71). A framework for specialist referral was developed based on a probability of pre-eclampsia generated by the model of at least 15% or an abnormal uterine artery Doppler waveform in a subset of women with single risk factors. Nine per cent of nulliparous women would be referred for a specialist opinion, of whom 21% would develop pre-eclampsia. The relative risk for developing pre-eclampsia and preterm pre-eclampsia in women referred to a specialist compared with standard care was 5.5 and 12.2, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The ability to predict pre-eclampsia in healthy nulliparous women using clinical phenotype is modest and requires external validation in other populations. If validated, it could provide a personalised clinical risk profile for nulliparous women to which biomarkers could be added. Trial registration ACTRN12607000551493.